Langue:Français
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Prévision 73.79%1.36cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -13.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.84%73.70%73.76%76.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.16%78.74%76.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cerro Porteño (Visiteur)
Prévision 7.74%12.92cote équitable
EV +8.38%
Avantage +0.599%
Kelly +0.645%
Croissance +0.054%
avec la cote maximale 14.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.66%7.81%7.72%9.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.5011.6712.0014.0010.53%8.57%8.33%7.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 18.47%5.41cote équitable
EV +6.76%
Avantage +1.17%
Kelly +1.41%
Croissance +0.096%
avec la cote maximale 5.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.41%18.50%18.52%20.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.604.985.005.7821.74%20.06%20.00%17.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Palmeiras-SP (Local) : 73.79% ; Cerro Porteño (Visiteur) : 7.74% ; Match nul : 18.47%. Pour Cerro Porteño (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 12.92. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 14.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.38%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.10%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.41%EV +6.76%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.38%E +0.599%K +0.645%G +0.054% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +1.59%E +0.289%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.258%E -0.048%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.63I 7.34%NM 7.01%EV +5.52%E +0.405%K +0.437%G +0.024% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.34%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.22%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 10.62I 9.42%NM 8.90%EV -17.78%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.39%EV -5.06%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.72%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 21:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.53%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 21:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.29%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.05%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.08%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.43%EV -16.78%E -1.56%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-12 21:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.70%EV -10.72%E -8.86%K -51.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.64%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.52% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.28% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.01% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |