L’École des cotes

Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño

2026-08-12 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Palmeiras-SP (Local)

Prévision 70.25%1.42cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -6.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.27%70.01%70.16%71.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.261.321.321.3979.37%75.91%75.76%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cerro Porteño (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.87%9.20cote équitable
EV +8.72%
Avantage +0.872%
Kelly +0.969%
Croissance +0.084%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.33%10.94%11.04%13.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.258.048.0010.0016.00%12.43%12.50%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.88%5.30cote équitable
EV +5.71%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.70%19.05%18.80%22.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.894.805.6024.39%20.46%20.83%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 00:10
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 00:09
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 00:09
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.56%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.55I 10.47%NM 10.04%EV +3.83%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.66%E -0.318%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 00:09
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 00:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV +0.022%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-20 11:50
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.15%E -0.239%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 11:48
Tipico (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -7.59%E -0.893%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 21:14
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:04
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 08:05
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.27%EV -10.85%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-14 07:14
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 00:10
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-14 19:49
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -22.61%E -5.51%K -7.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:49
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:49
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-24 11:50
Suprabets1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -14.11%E -1.79%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 22:44
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%6.9%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.95%EV -10.78%E -8.49%K -39.93%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 11.99%EV -21.72%E -3.02%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -18.83%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-14 07:14
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 15:01
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 12:55
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -10.08%E -7.87%K -35.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -26.61%E -3.94%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-14 07:14
Betclic (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 66.75%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.45%EV -30.42%E -4.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.80%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-14 07:14
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -11.48%E -9.11%K -44.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -32.05%E -5.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-14 07:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 67.39%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.38%16.8%2026-07-14 07:15
Arbitrage (48 combinaisons) +0.20%Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) / SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) / Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)Afficher les 48 combinaisons
Palmeiras-SP (Local)Cerro Porteño (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
Betsson 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Casumo 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%
NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%)SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%)ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%)+0.201%