La escuela de los momiosPalmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Resultado del partido
Palmeiras-SP (Local)
Predicción 70.25%1.42momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -6.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%70.01%70.16%71.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.261.321.321.3979.37%75.91%75.76%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cerro Porteño (Visitante)
Predicción 10.87%9.20momio equitativo
EV +8.72%
Ventaja +0.872%
Kelly +0.969%
Crecimiento +0.084%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.33%10.94%11.04%13.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.258.048.0010.0016.00%12.43%12.50%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.88%5.30momio equitativo
EV +5.71%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.70%19.05%18.80%22.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.894.805.6024.39%20.46%20.83%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.33%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.07%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-24 00:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.23%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +8.72%E +0.872%K +0.969%G +0.084% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 00:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.56%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 9.55I 10.47%NM 10.04%EV +3.83%E +0.401%K +0.448%G +0.017% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.40%EV -1.66%E -0.318%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-20 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.61%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-24 00:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.30%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +3.28%E +0.346%K +0.386%G +0.013% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-24 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -7.97%E -6.08%K -25.71%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV +0.022%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-20 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.86%E -4.37%K -17.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -2.15%E -0.239%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-24 11:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -7.59%E -0.893%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-21 21:14 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 08:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.91%EV -2.35%E -1.69%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.21%EV -9.76%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -19.78%E -4.65%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 08:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.48%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.27%EV -10.85%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-14 07:14 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-24 00:10 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-14 19:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.27%EV -3.05%E -2.21%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.43%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -22.61%E -5.51%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 08:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 11:49 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 11:49 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.15%EV -13.02%E -1.63%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-24 11:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.90%EV -6.56%E -4.94%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.60%EV -14.11%E -1.79%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 22:44 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -7.27%E -5.51%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -18.46%E -2.46%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 67.95%EV -10.78%E -8.49%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 11.99%EV -21.72%E -3.02%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -18.83%E -4.38%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-14 07:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-30 15:01 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.67%E -6.67%K -28.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -23.90%E -3.41%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -0.901%E -0.172%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-16 12:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 67.84%EV -10.08%E -7.87%K -35.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.86%EV -26.61%E -3.94%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-14 07:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 66.75%EV -9.37%E -7.27%K -32.33%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.45%EV -30.42%E -4.75%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.80%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-14 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 66.60%EV -11.48%E -9.11%K -44.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.43%EV -32.05%E -5.13%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-07-14 07:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 67.39% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.38% | 16.8% | 2026-07-14 07:15 |
Arbitraje (48 combinaciones) +0.20%Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) / SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) / Unibet 5.60 (17.9%)Ver las 48 combinaciones
| Palmeiras-SP (Local) | Cerro Porteño (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| Betsson 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Coolbet 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | Betr (AU) 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Casumo 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Grosvenor 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | BetRivers 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Unibet (NL) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | Svenska Spel 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |
| NordicBet 1.39 (72.1%) | SportsBet 10.00 (10.0%) | ATG (SE) 5.60 (17.9%) | +0.201% |