Język:Polski
Palmeiras-SP v Cerro Porteño
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Palmeiras-SP (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 73.79%1.36kurs godziwy
EV -4.08%
Przewaga -3.14%
Kelly -13.59%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.30
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
71.84%73.70%73.76%76.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.16%78.74%76.92%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Cerro Porteño (Goście)
Prognoza 7.74%12.92kurs godziwy
EV +8.38%
Przewaga +0.599%
Kelly +0.645%
Wzrost +0.054%
przy maksymalnym kursie 14.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
6.66%7.81%7.72%9.49%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
9.5011.6712.0014.0010.53%8.57%8.33%7.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 18.47%5.41kurs godziwy
EV +6.76%
Przewaga +1.17%
Kelly +1.41%
Wzrost +0.096%
przy maksymalnym kursie 5.78
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.41%18.50%18.52%20.27%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.604.985.005.7821.74%20.06%20.00%17.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Palmeiras-SP (Gospodarze): 73.79%; Cerro Porteño (Goście): 7.74%; Remis: 18.47%. Dla wyniku Cerro Porteño (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 12.92. 12 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 14.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +8.38%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (48 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.10%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.41%EV +6.76%E +1.17%K +1.41%G +0.096% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.38%E +0.599%K +0.645%G +0.054% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV +1.59%E +0.289%K +0.353%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.19%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.50%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -0.258%E -0.048%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.33%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.43%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.38%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.80%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.25%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-12 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -3.03%E -0.577%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-12 21:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.63I 7.34%NM 7.01%EV +5.52%E +0.405%K +0.437%G +0.024% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.34%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.33%EV -3.77%E -0.723%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.00%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.64%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 21:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.22%EV -7.03%E -5.58%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.40%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.10%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -3.95%E -0.760%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 10.62I 9.42%NM 8.90%EV -17.78%E -1.67%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.39%EV -5.06%E -0.985%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.43%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.11%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.47%EV -6.72%E -1.33%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-12 21:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.53%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.12%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-12 21:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:11 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.14%EV -10.97%E -0.954%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.29%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 21:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 73.05%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.97%EV -7.65%E -1.53%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.55%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.24%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.75%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.40%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-12 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.08%EV -8.50%E -6.86%K -35.43%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.43%EV -16.78%E -1.56%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.49%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-12 21:43 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.70%EV -10.72%E -8.86%K -51.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.11%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.20%EV -9.49%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.46%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -14.84%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.18%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -22.58%E -2.26%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.84%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -26.45%E -2.78%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -11.34%E -2.36%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.67%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-12 21:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.71%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-12 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.61%EV -9.98%E -8.18%K -45.36%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -12.26%E -2.58%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.46%EV -3.23%E -0.258%K -0.281%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.64%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.15%EV +0.641%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-12 21:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.10%E -0.592%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-12 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.23%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -18.71%E -1.78%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -15.03%E -3.27%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 21:50 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.52% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 0.5% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.90% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.03% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.08% | 0.6% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.28% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 6.01% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 21:55 |