Language:English
Mirassol v Lanus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirassol (Local)
Prediction 43.20%2.31fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lanus (Visit)
Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.48%3.18fair odd
EV -0.843%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirassol (Local): 43.20%; Lanus (Visit): 25.32%; Draw: 31.48%. For Lanus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:36 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |