A Escola das Odds

Mirassol v Lanus

Início: 2026-04-08 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mirassol (Local)

Previsão 43.20%2.31odd justa
EV -3.66%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lanus (Visitante)

Previsão 25.32%3.95odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.48%3.18odd justa
EV -0.843%
Vantagem -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 21:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 21:49
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:45
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:54
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:35
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:35
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 21:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 21:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:39
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 21:54
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 21:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 21:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 21:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 21:34
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 21:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:36
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-08 21:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-08 21:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%2.0%2026-04-08 21:55