مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Mirassol v Lanus
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Mirassol (المضيف)
التنبؤ 43.20%2.31السعر العادل
EV -3.66%
الأفضلية -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Lanus (الضيف)
التنبؤ 25.32%3.95السعر العادل
EV +2.28%
الأفضلية +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
النمو +0.017%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.04
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.48%3.18السعر العادل
EV -0.843%
الأفضلية -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Suprabets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:36 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (4)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |