Школа коэффициентов

Mirassol v Lanus

Начало: 2026-04-08 22:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

44 букмекерские конторы (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mirassol (Хозяева)

Прогноз 43.20%2.31справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.66%
Преимущество -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Lanus (Гости)

Прогноз 25.32%3.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.28%
Преимущество +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.04

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.48%3.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.843%
Преимущество -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (44 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 21:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-08 21:49
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:45
Suprabets2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:54
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-08 21:55
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:35
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:35
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:34
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-08 21:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-08 21:40
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:39
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 21:54
GTbets2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 21:10
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 21:10
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 21:10
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-08 21:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-08 21:34
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-08 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-08 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:34
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:35
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-08 21:49
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-08 21:30
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-08 21:36
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-08 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-08 21:49
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 21:40
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-08 21:35
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-08 21:55
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69%2.0%2026-04-08 21:55