L’École des cotesFrançais
Mirassol v Lanus
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mirassol (Local)
Prévision 43.20%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.23
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lanus (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.32%3.95cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 4.04
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.48%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.843%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Suprabets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:36 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |