La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mirassol v Lanus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mirassol (Local)
Predicción 43.20%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -2.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.34%43.25%43.21%44.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.57%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lanus (Visitante)
Predicción 25.32%3.95momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +0.565%
Kelly +0.751%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%25.28%25.22%26.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.524.0430.30%27.78%28.37%24.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.48%3.18momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.268%
Kelly -0.392%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.86%31.47%31.57%33.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.903.1538.02%34.27%34.48%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.38%EV -6.25%E -2.88%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.84%EV +2.28%E +0.565%K +0.751%G +0.017% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.78%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.50%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.27%E +0.318%K +0.424%G +0.005% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.58%EV -4.62%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -1.26%E -0.323%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Suprabets | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.88%EV -7.77%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.01%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -1.77%E -0.455%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.95%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| BetUS | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.70%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.23%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.79%E -0.998%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.36%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.55%EV -8.41%E -3.97%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.06%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:39 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -5.82%E -2.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -8.08%E -2.77%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.32%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.86%E -4.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| GTbets | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.44%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.20%EV -0.843%E -0.268%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 21:10 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.86%E -2.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.11%E -3.31%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.12%E -2.85%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -5.56%E -1.85%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.79%EV -7.54%E -3.53%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.14%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.24%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:34 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.39%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -9.66%E -3.36%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -5.38%E -2.46%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.78%EV -11.64%E -3.34%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.54%EV -3.68%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.40%EV -3.66%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -12.65%E -3.67%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-08 21:36 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -3.99%E -1.31%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -4.95%E -2.25%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-08 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.39%EV -9.27%E -4.42%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.56%EV -13.92%E -4.09%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.05%EV -17.21%E -6.54%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-08 21:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -13.59%E -6.80%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.19%E -4.53%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -10.29%E -3.61%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -11.43%E -5.58%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -16.45%E -4.99%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -8.71%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.39% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.92% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |