A Escola das Odds

Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle

Início: 2026-04-28 22:00 UTC

Final: Libertad Asuncion 2–3 Independiente del Valle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Libertad Asuncion (Local)

Previsão 34.23%2.92odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -0.859%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.76%34.23%34.25%35.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.06%37.04%35.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente del Valle (Visitante)

Previsão 35.32%2.83odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.48%35.36%34.96%36.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.582.602.7442.55%38.76%38.46%36.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.45%3.28odd justa
EV +2.02%
Vantagem +0.603%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.78%30.40%30.79%31.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.063.073.3536.36%32.64%32.57%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017%2.7%2026-04-17 18:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017%2.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 18:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 17:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 12:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.56%EV -6.55%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.20%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -4.98%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 00:49
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -3.47%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -3.23%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:09
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 23:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:03
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:50
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:49
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:49
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:35
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.77%E -5.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 11:59
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.21%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.03%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 00:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:38
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-21 12:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 16:40
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.12%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.22%EV -10.47%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 22:05
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-22 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -17.85%E -7.44%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.85%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.7%2026-04-21 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -9.98%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.25%E -5.91%K -9.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-20 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 34.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.63%13.2%2026-04-21 22:05