مدرسة الاحتمالات

Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle

البداية: 2026-04-28 22:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Libertad Asuncion 2–3 Independiente del Valle

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

44 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Libertad Asuncion (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.23%2.92السعر العادل
EV -2.45%
الأفضلية -0.859%
Kelly -1.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.76%34.23%34.25%35.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.06%37.04%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Independiente del Valle (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.32%2.83السعر العادل
EV -3.23%
الأفضلية -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.48%35.36%34.96%36.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.582.602.7442.55%38.76%38.46%36.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.45%3.28السعر العادل
EV +2.02%
الأفضلية +0.603%
Kelly +0.860%
النمو +0.017%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.78%30.40%30.79%31.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.063.073.3536.36%32.64%32.57%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (44 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017%2.7%2026-04-17 18:49
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017%2.7%2026-04-17 18:50
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-21 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 18:50
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:50
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 18:50
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-21 17:40
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 18:49
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 12:04
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 11:59
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.56%EV -6.55%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.20%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -4.98%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 00:49
1xBet2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -3.47%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -3.23%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-24 00:09
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 00:44
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 23:04
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 12:05
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 22:03
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:50
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:49
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-17 18:49
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 12:35
LowVig.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 18:44
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.77%E -5.17%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 11:59
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.21%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.03%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 00:04
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:40
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-21 17:38
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-21 12:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 12:35
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 16:40
Suprabets2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.12%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.22%EV -10.47%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 12:52
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 22:05
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 12:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-22 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -17.85%E -7.44%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.85%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000%18.7%2026-04-21 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -9.98%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.25%E -5.91%K -9.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-20 23:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 34.76%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.63%13.2%2026-04-21 22:05