L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Libertad Asuncion (Local)
Prévision 34.23%2.92cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -0.859%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.76%34.23%34.25%35.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.06%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente del Valle (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.32%2.83cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.48%35.36%34.96%36.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.582.602.7442.55%38.76%38.46%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.45%3.28cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +0.603%
Kelly +0.860%
Croissance +0.017%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.78%30.40%30.79%31.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.073.3536.36%32.64%32.57%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 12:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.56%EV -6.55%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.20%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -4.98%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 00:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -3.47%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -3.23%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.77%E -5.17%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.21%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.03%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Suprabets | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.12%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.22%EV -10.47%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -17.85%E -7.44%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.85%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -9.98%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.25%E -5.91%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (1)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 34.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.63% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |