La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Libertad Asuncion (Casa)
Previsione 34.23%2.92quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -0.859%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.76%34.23%34.25%35.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.06%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Independiente del Valle (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.32%2.83quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.48%35.36%34.96%36.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.582.602.7442.55%38.76%38.46%36.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.45%3.28quota equa
EV +2.02%
Vantaggio +0.603%
Kelly +0.860%
Crescita +0.017%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.78%30.40%30.79%31.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.063.073.3536.36%32.64%32.57%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 12:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.56%EV -6.55%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.20%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -4.98%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 00:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -3.47%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -3.23%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:04 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.77%E -5.17%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.21%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.03%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Suprabets | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.12%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.22%EV -10.47%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| 888sport | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| William Hill | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -17.85%E -7.44%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.85%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -9.98%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.25%E -5.91%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 34.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.63% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |