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Libertad Asuncion v Independiente del Valle
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Libertad Asuncion (Heim)
Prognose 34.23%2.92faire Quote
EV -2.45%
Vorteil -0.859%
Kelly -1.32%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.85
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
32.76%34.23%34.25%35.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.402.702.702.8541.67%37.06%37.04%35.09%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Independiente del Valle (Auswärts)
Prognose 35.32%2.83faire Quote
EV -3.23%
Vorteil -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.74
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.48%35.36%34.96%36.83%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.352.582.602.7442.55%38.76%38.46%36.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Unentschieden
Prognose 30.45%3.28faire Quote
EV +2.02%
Vorteil +0.603%
Kelly +0.860%
Wachstum +0.017%
bei einer Höchstquote von 3.35
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
28.78%30.40%30.79%31.76%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.753.063.073.3536.36%32.64%32.57%29.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Libertad Asuncion (Heim): 34.23%; Independiente del Valle (Auswärts): 35.32%; Unentschieden: 30.45%. Für Unentschieden entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.28. 2 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.35 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.02%.
Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.17%EV -2.45%E -0.859%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +2.02%E +0.603%K +0.860%G +0.017% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-21 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -1.03%E -0.315%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -9.94%E -3.90%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.55%E -0.796%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.18%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.44%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.38%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.07%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.56%EV -6.55%E -2.40%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.20%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -4.98%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 00:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.03%EV -3.47%E -1.23%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.02%EV -3.23%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-24 00:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -10.32%E -3.94%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -8.18%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.21%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -12.41%E -5.01%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -5.59%E -1.80%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-17 18:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.89%EV -4.16%E -1.49%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.89%EV -3.94%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.42%E -2.44%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.13%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.16%EV -12.77%E -5.17%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.48%EV -7.72%E -2.55%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -6.21%E -2.27%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.07%EV -6.06%E -2.28%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -8.03%E -2.66%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.64%E -1.72%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.71%E -4.68%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-21 17:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%EV -16.14%E -6.59%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.98%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -8.64%E -2.88%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -5.35%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -9.25%E -3.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 33.87%EV -7.24%E -2.67%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -7.12%E -2.71%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.22%EV -10.47%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 12:52 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.75%EV -6.41%E -2.42%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.47%E -2.85%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 12:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -14.43%E -5.77%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.10%EV -17.85%E -7.44%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.85%EV -17.01%E -7.24%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -11.68%E -4.03%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-21 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.76%EV -9.98%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.90%EV -15.24%E -6.35%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.33%EV -16.25%E -5.91%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-20 23:30 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (1)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Unentschieden | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 34.76% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.63% | 13.2% | 2026-04-21 22:05 |