StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

LDU Quito v Mirassol

Matchstart: 2026-04-15 02:00 UTC

Slutresultat: LDU Quito 2–0 Mirassol

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

45 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

LDU Quito (Hemma)

Prognos 54.67%1.83rättvist odds
EV -4.87%
Fördel -2.80%
Kelly -6.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.74

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
52.72%54.82%54.72%58.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.561.681.681.7464.10%59.67%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Mirassol (Borta)

Prognos 19.96%5.01rättvist odds
EV +7.80%
Fördel +1.44%
Kelly +1.77%
Tillväxt +0.138%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
18.08%19.87%19.84%21.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.764.755.4023.81%21.00%21.05%18.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.37%3.94rättvist odds
EV +4.01%
Fördel +0.977%
Kelly +1.29%
Tillväxt +0.052%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.81%25.30%25.44%27.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.683.704.1032.26%27.15%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: LDU Quito (Hemma): 54.67%; Mirassol (Borta): 19.96%; Oavgjort: 25.37%. För Mirassol (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.01. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.80%.

Spelbolagsodds (45 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:19
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 01:19
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV +1.81%E +0.355%K +0.441%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 01:19
BetUS🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -14.71%E -9.43%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:19
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 18:50
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 16:59
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.20%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:24
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -1.98%E -0.404%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:54
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.75%EV -1.83%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 01:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Suprabets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:52
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 01:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.25%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 01:35
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 01:25
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 01:25
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 01:35
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 01:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -11.98%E -7.44%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.16%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-15 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-15 01:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-15 01:34
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%0.2%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-15 01:55