La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
LDU Quito v Mirassol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
LDU Quito (Local)
Predicción 54.67%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.87%
Ventaja -2.80%
Kelly -6.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.72%54.82%54.72%58.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.681.7464.10%59.67%59.52%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirassol (Visitante)
Predicción 19.96%5.01momio equitativo
EV +7.80%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.138%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.08%19.87%19.84%21.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.764.755.4023.81%21.00%21.05%18.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.37%3.94momio equitativo
EV +4.01%
Ventaja +0.977%
Kelly +1.29%
Crecimiento +0.052%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.30%25.44%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.683.704.1032.26%27.15%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV +1.81%E +0.355%K +0.441%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| BetUS | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -14.71%E -9.43%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 18:50 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.20%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -1.98%E -0.404%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.75%EV -1.83%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 01:52 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.25%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -11.98%E -7.44%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.16%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-15 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-15 01:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 01:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |