A Escola das Odds

LDU Quito v Mirassol

Início: 2026-04-15 02:00 UTC

Final: LDU Quito 2–0 Mirassol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

LDU Quito (Local)

Previsão 54.67%1.83odd justa
EV -4.87%
Vantagem -2.80%
Kelly -6.59%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.72%54.82%54.72%58.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.681.681.7464.10%59.67%59.52%57.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Mirassol (Visitante)

Previsão 19.96%5.01odd justa
EV +7.80%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +1.77%
Crescimento +0.138%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.08%19.87%19.84%21.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.764.755.4023.81%21.00%21.05%18.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.37%3.94odd justa
EV +4.01%
Vantagem +0.977%
Kelly +1.29%
Crescimento +0.052%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.81%25.30%25.44%27.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.683.704.1032.26%27.15%27.03%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:19
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 01:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV +1.81%E +0.355%K +0.441%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 01:19
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 01:55
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -14.71%E -9.43%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:19
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 18:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 16:59
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.20%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -1.98%E -0.404%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.75%EV -1.83%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 01:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:52
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 01:55
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.25%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 01:35
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 01:25
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 01:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 01:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 01:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:25
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -11.98%E -7.44%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.16%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-15 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-15 01:55
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-15 01:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%0.2%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-15 01:55