مدرسة الاحتمالات

LDU Quito v Mirassol

البداية: 2026-04-15 02:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: LDU Quito 2–0 Mirassol

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

LDU Quito (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.67%1.83السعر العادل
EV -4.87%
الأفضلية -2.80%
Kelly -6.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.72%54.82%54.72%58.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.681.681.7464.10%59.67%59.52%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Mirassol (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.96%5.01السعر العادل
EV +7.80%
الأفضلية +1.44%
Kelly +1.77%
النمو +0.138%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.08%19.87%19.84%21.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.764.755.4023.81%21.00%21.05%18.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.37%3.94السعر العادل
EV +4.01%
الأفضلية +0.977%
Kelly +1.29%
النمو +0.052%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.81%25.30%25.44%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.683.704.1032.26%27.15%27.03%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:20
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052%2.4%2026-04-15 01:19
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 01:19
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:19
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 01:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV +1.81%E +0.355%K +0.441%G +0.008%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 01:19
BetUS1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 01:55
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 01:20
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -14.71%E -9.43%K -26.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:19
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 18:50
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 17:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 16:59
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.94I 20.24%NM 19.20%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 01:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -1.98%E -0.404%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:54
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.75%EV -1.83%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 01:50
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 23:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 17:00
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 01:54
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-15 01:55
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:25
Suprabets1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 01:52
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 01:55
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.25%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-15 01:35
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-15 01:25
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 01:35
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-15 01:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-15 01:35
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 01:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 01:35
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-15 01:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-15 01:25
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -11.98%E -7.44%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.16%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-15 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-15 01:55
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-15 01:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94%0.2%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17%0.6%2026-04-15 01:50
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-04-15 01:55