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LDU Quito v Mirassol
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
LDU Quito (Хозяева)
Прогноз 54.67%1.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.87%
Преимущество -2.80%
Kelly -6.59%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.74
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
52.72%54.82%54.72%58.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.561.681.681.7464.10%59.67%59.52%57.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Mirassol (Гости)
Прогноз 19.96%5.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.80%
Преимущество +1.44%
Kelly +1.77%
Рост +0.138%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.08%19.87%19.84%21.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.764.755.4023.81%21.00%21.05%18.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 25.37%3.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.01%
Преимущество +0.977%
Kelly +1.29%
Рост +0.052%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.81%25.30%25.44%27.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.683.704.1032.26%27.15%27.03%24.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: LDU Quito (Хозяева): 54.67%; Mirassol (Гости): 19.96%; Ничья: 25.37%. Для исхода «Mirassol (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.01. 8 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.80%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.11%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +7.80%E +1.44%K +1.77%G +0.138% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +4.01%E +0.977%K +1.29%G +0.052% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.78%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV +0.202%E +0.051%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.76%EV -10.89%E -6.68%K -17.28%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV +3.80%E +0.732%K +0.906%G +0.034% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV +1.81%E +0.355%K +0.441%G +0.008% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -1.07%E -0.273%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.14%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.78%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -14.17%E -9.02%K -24.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-15 01:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -14.71%E -9.43%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -0.188%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.60%E -0.948%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 01:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.37%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 18:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -1.19%E -0.240%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.16%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.94I 20.24%NM 19.20%EV -1.39%E -0.281%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV -1.98%E -0.404%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -7.92%E -2.18%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.55%EV -2.18%E -0.446%K -0.560%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.75%EV -1.83%E -0.472%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.67%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.61%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.05%EV -3.18%E -0.656%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-14 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.75%EV -4.87%E -2.80%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.85%EV -4.18%E -0.871%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.84%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -5.18%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -6.18%E -1.31%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 01:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.97%E -3.47%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.25%EV -7.61%E -4.50%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.94%E -2.80%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -8.17%E -1.78%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -4.87%E -1.30%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.06%E -4.15%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -6.14%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.51%E -3.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -5.42%E -3.13%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.17%E -2.26%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 01:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -8.15%E -4.85%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -7.41%E -2.03%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 01:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.70%E -5.21%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.68%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -9.79%E -5.94%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.17%E -2.76%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-15 01:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.03%EV -11.98%E -7.44%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.00%EV -13.16%E -3.03%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -15.02%E -4.48%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-15 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.72%EV -11.43%E -7.06%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.73%EV -13.56%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -21.36%E -6.89%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%EV -10.34%E -6.31%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%EV -16.16%E -3.85%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -11.21%E -3.20%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-15 01:34 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.11% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.94% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.17% | 0.6% | 2026-04-15 01:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.68% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-04-15 01:55 |