Language:English
Fluminense-RJ v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prediction 59.56%1.68fair odd
EV +4.22%
Edge +2.41%
Kelly +5.63%
Growth +0.238%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.72%59.07%59.58%61.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.571.7567.11%63.22%63.69%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 13.57%7.37fair odd
EV +8.57%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.105%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.75%13.75%13.52%18.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.746.788.0020.00%14.83%14.76%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.87%3.72fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.18%26.90%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 59.56%; Platense (Visit): 13.57%; Draw: 26.87%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.37. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV +1.25%E +0.732%K +1.78%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -1.74%E -0.241%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.11%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +5.18%E +0.668%K +0.767%G +0.040% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.07%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.50%EV +3.01%E +0.396%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.32%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.81%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.94%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -11.26%E -7.56%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37% | 0.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.80% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |