Langue:Français
Fluminense-RJ v Platense
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prévision 59.56%1.68cote équitable
EV +4.22%
Avantage +2.41%
Kelly +5.63%
Croissance +0.238%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.72%59.07%59.58%61.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.581.571.7567.11%63.22%63.69%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Platense (Visiteur)
Prévision 13.57%7.37cote équitable
EV +8.57%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.105%
avec la cote maximale 8.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.75%13.75%13.52%18.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.006.746.788.0020.00%14.83%14.76%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.87%3.72cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -0.905%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%27.18%26.90%30.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fluminense-RJ (Local) : 59.56% ; Platense (Visiteur) : 13.57% ; Match nul : 26.87%. Pour Platense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.37. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.57%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV +1.25%E +0.732%K +1.78%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -1.74%E -0.241%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.11%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +5.18%E +0.668%K +0.767%G +0.040% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.07%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.50%EV +3.01%E +0.396%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.32%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.81%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.94%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -11.26%E -7.56%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37% | 0.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.80% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |