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Fluminense-RJ v Platense
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Predicción 59.56%1.68momio equitativo
EV +4.22%
Ventaja +2.41%
Kelly +5.63%
Crecimiento +0.238%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.72%59.07%59.58%61.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.581.571.7567.11%63.22%63.69%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Platense (Visitante)
Predicción 13.57%7.37momio equitativo
EV +8.57%
Ventaja +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.105%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.75%13.75%13.52%18.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.006.746.788.0020.00%14.83%14.76%12.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -0.905%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.18%26.90%30.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.71%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 59.56%; Platense (Visitante): 13.57%; Empate: 26.87%. Para Platense (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.37. 10 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.57%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV +1.25%E +0.732%K +1.78%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -1.74%E -0.241%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.11%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +5.18%E +0.668%K +0.767%G +0.040% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.07%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.50%EV +3.01%E +0.396%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.32%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.81%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.94%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -11.26%E -7.56%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37% | 0.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.80% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |