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Fluminense-RJ v Platense
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fluminense-RJ (Хозяева)
Прогноз 59.56%1.68справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.22%
Преимущество +2.41%
Kelly +5.63%
Рост +0.238%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
51.72%59.07%59.58%61.38%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.491.581.571.7567.11%63.22%63.69%57.14%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Platense (Гости)
Прогноз 13.57%7.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.57%
Преимущество +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Рост +0.105%
при максимальном коэффициенте 8.00
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.75%13.75%13.52%18.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.006.746.788.0020.00%14.83%14.76%12.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.87%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.26%
Преимущество -0.905%
Kelly -1.25%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.60
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.93%27.18%26.90%30.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.71%29.41%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fluminense-RJ (Хозяева): 59.56%; Platense (Гости): 13.57%; Ничья: 26.87%. Для исхода «Platense (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.37. 10 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.57%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (46 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV +1.25%E +0.732%K +1.78%G +0.022% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -1.74%E -0.241%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-08 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.11%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +5.18%E +0.668%K +0.767%G +0.040% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.07%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.50%EV +3.01%E +0.396%K +0.456%G +0.014% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.32%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-08 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.81%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.94%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-08 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -11.26%E -7.56%K -22.98%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 21:44 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.35% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37% | 0.1% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64% | 0.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.80% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 21:55 |