StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fluminense-RJ v Platense

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-08 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Fluminense-RJ 2–0 Platense

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

46 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Fluminense-RJ (Heim)

Prognose 59.56%1.68faire Quote
EV +4.22%
Vorteil +2.41%
Kelly +5.63%
Wachstum +0.238%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.72%59.07%59.58%61.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.491.581.571.7567.11%63.22%63.69%57.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Platense (Auswärts)

Prognose 13.57%7.37faire Quote
EV +8.57%
Vorteil +1.07%
Kelly +1.22%
Wachstum +0.105%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.75%13.75%13.52%18.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.006.746.788.0020.00%14.83%14.76%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.87%3.72faire Quote
EV -3.26%
Vorteil -0.905%
Kelly -1.25%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.93%27.18%26.90%30.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.71%29.41%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Fluminense-RJ (Heim): 59.56%; Platense (Auswärts): 13.57%; Unentschieden: 26.87%. Für Platense (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 7.37. 10 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +8.57%.

Wettanbieterquoten (46 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV +4.22%E +2.41%K +5.63%G +0.238%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 21:45
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV +1.25%E +0.732%K +1.78%G +0.022%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -32.14%E -6.43%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -19.38%E -6.46%K -9.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.81%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-08 21:55
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.66%EV -2.33%E -1.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -1.74%E -0.241%K -0.280%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -7.83%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-08 21:50
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:55
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.25%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 21:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.56%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.82%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.09%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 21:20
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 21:45
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.11%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-08 21:45
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.69%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.37%EV +5.18%E +0.668%K +0.767%G +0.040%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.33%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-08 21:45
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.07%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.59I 13.18%NM 12.50%EV +3.01%E +0.396%K +0.456%G +0.014%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.43%EV -7.02%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-08 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 21:45
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.39%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.80%EV -7.72%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 21:45
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.33%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.89%EV -8.39%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-08 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -5.90%E -3.74%K -10.18%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 21:50
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.32%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 21:50
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.58%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.23%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.10%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.25%EV -13.14%E -2.05%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -15.18%E -2.43%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.81%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.00%EV -1.61%E -0.222%K -0.257%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-08 21:15
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.62%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV +8.57%E +1.07%K +1.22%G +0.105%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 21:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.53%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -3.26%E -0.905%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-08 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 21:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 21:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 21:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -7.69%E -4.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.66%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-08 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.94%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.68%EV -8.28%E -5.38%K -15.34%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.56%EV -17.22%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -14.01%E -4.38%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 21:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.93%EV -8.88%E -5.80%K -16.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -5.00%E -0.714%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.96%EV +5.86%E +0.751%K +0.861%G +0.050%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -18.57%E -3.10%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 21:45
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.44%EV -10.67%E -7.11%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV +1.78%E +0.238%K +0.275%G +0.005%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -11.26%E -7.56%K -22.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -11.79%E -1.81%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 21:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.28%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37%0.1%2026-09-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.05%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.31%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.64%0.5%2026-09-08 21:55
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.80%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-09-08 21:55