The School of Odds

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-08-11 22:00 — Copa Libertadores

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Fluminense-RJ (Local)

1.4469.44%Min
1.5365.27%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.5664.10%Max
58.51%1.709Min
61.54%1.625Max
60.62%1.650Mean
60.66%1.648Median
60.86%1.643IQM
60.63%1.649Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.56 under the IQM model: 60.86%

EV -5.06%Edge -3.24%Kelly -9.03%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

4.5022.22%Min
5.1419.47%Mean
5.1019.61%Median
6.0016.67%Max
15.38%6.500Min
20.20%4.950Max
17.20%5.815Mean
17.02%5.874Median
16.89%5.921IQM
17.17%5.824Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.00 under the IQM model: 16.89%

EV +1.34%Edge +0.223%Kelly +0.267%Growth +0.004%

Option 3: Draw

3.7027.03%Min
4.1324.24%Mean
4.1024.39%Median
4.5022.22%Max
20.70%4.832Min
24.25%4.123Max
22.19%4.507Mean
22.31%4.482Median
22.25%4.495IQM
22.20%4.504Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 22.25%

EV +0.119%Edge +0.026%Kelly +0.034%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFluminense-RJ (Local)Independiente Rivadavia (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.11%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.79%EV +1.34% E +0.223% K +0.267% G +0.004%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.10%EV -8.78% E -2.14% K -2.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:49
SportsBet1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -8.71% E -5.80% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.38%EV +1.34% E +0.223% K +0.267% G +0.004%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.08%EV -11.01% E -2.75% K -3.67% G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 19:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52% NM 60.42%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%5.90I 16.95% NM 15.87%EV -0.352% E -0.060% K -0.072% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.71%EV -12.12% E -3.07% K -4.11% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-02 21:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52% NM 60.42%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%5.90I 16.95% NM 15.87%EV -0.352% E -0.060% K -0.072% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.71%EV -12.12% E -3.07% K -4.11% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-02 21:34
1xBet1.56I 64.10% NM 61.45%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%5.86I 17.06% NM 16.36%EV -1.03% E -0.175% K -0.211% G +0.000%4.32I 23.15% NM 22.19%EV -3.89% E -0.899% K -1.17% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-02 19:09
PlayUp1.55I 64.52% NM 58.61%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.80%EV -2.89% E -0.502% K -0.607% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.59%EV -21.02% E -5.92% K -8.24% G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-10 19:59
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79% NM 61.40%EV -7.49% E -4.93% K -14.40% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.37%EV -3.73% E -0.654% K -0.794% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.22%EV -6.56% E -1.56% K -2.05% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-02 19:05
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79% NM 61.36%EV -7.49% E -4.93% K -14.40% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.96%EV -7.11% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.69%EV -4.33% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-02 21:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67% NM 59.97%EV -8.71% E -5.80% K -17.41% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.36%EV -7.11% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.67%EV -15.46% E -4.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.47I 68.03% NM 60.82%EV -10.53% E -7.17% K -22.41% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 16.26%EV -7.11% E -1.29% K -1.58% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.92%EV -13.23% E -3.39% K -4.56% G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-30 12:00
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94% NM 60.21%EV -6.27% E -4.07% K -11.62% G +0.000%5.40I 18.52% NM 17.17%EV -8.80% E -1.63% K -2.00% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.62%EV -8.78% E -2.14% K -2.83% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-02 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36% NM 58.65%EV -6.88% E -4.50% K -12.98% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.09%EV -11.33% E -2.16% K -2.67% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.25%EV -17.68% E -4.78% K -6.55% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36% NM 58.65%EV -6.88% E -4.50% K -12.98% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.09%EV -11.33% E -2.16% K -2.67% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.25%EV -17.68% E -4.78% K -6.55% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 20:50
Neds1.53I 65.36% NM 58.65%EV -6.88% E -4.50% K -12.98% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.09%EV -11.33% E -2.16% K -2.67% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.25%EV -17.68% E -4.78% K -6.55% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 20:50
Coral1.53I 65.36% NM 58.65%EV -6.88% E -4.50% K -12.98% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.09%EV -11.33% E -2.16% K -2.67% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.25%EV -17.68% E -4.78% K -6.55% G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-14 20:50
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52% NM 59.33%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%5.20I 19.23% NM 17.68%EV -12.17% E -2.34% K -2.90% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.99%EV -11.01% E -2.75% K -3.67% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 21:35
Suprabets1.54I 64.94% NM 59.40%EV -6.27% E -4.07% K -11.62% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.29%EV -15.55% E -3.11% K -3.89% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.31%EV -8.78% E -2.14% K -2.83% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-02 21:40
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 59.43%EV -11.75% E -8.10% K -26.11% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 17.59%EV -17.24% E -3.52% K -4.42% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.98%EV -16.57% E -4.42% K -6.02% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-02 21:35
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 59.43%EV -11.75% E -8.10% K -26.11% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 17.59%EV -17.24% E -3.52% K -4.42% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.98%EV -16.57% E -4.42% K -6.02% G +0.000%16.0%2026-07-02 21:35
Unibet1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.70%EV -5.06% E -3.24% K -9.03% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.61%EV -19.77% E -4.16% K -5.27% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.70%EV +0.119% E +0.026% K +0.034% G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03% NM 59.18%EV -10.53% E -7.17% K -22.41% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 18.51%EV -20.62% E -4.39% K -5.57% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 22.31%EV -13.23% E -3.39% K -4.56% G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-02 21:35
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.65%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -24.00% E -5.33% K -6.86% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.14%EV -4.33% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.65%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -24.00% E -5.33% K -6.86% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.14%EV -4.33% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.65%EV -5.66% E -3.65% K -10.30% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -24.00% E -5.33% K -6.86% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.14%EV -4.33% E -1.01% K -1.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44% NM 58.51%EV -12.36% E -8.58% K -28.09% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 18.72%EV -24.00% E -5.33% K -6.86% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 22.77%EV -17.68% E -4.78% K -6.55% G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-02 21:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerFluminense-RJ (Local)Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%4.80I 20.83%3.70I 27.03%16.4%2026-07-02 21:35