Language:English
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prediction 55.80%1.79fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)
Prediction 16.25%6.15fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 6.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.95%3.58fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 55.80%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 16.25%; Draw: 27.95%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.15. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 21:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.