Langue:Français
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Prévision 55.80%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.25%6.15cote équitable
EV +2.69%
Avantage +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.014%
avec la cote maximale 6.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.95%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fluminense-RJ (Local) : 55.80% ; Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur) : 16.25% ; Match nul : 27.95%. Pour Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.15. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.32, soit une espérance positive de +2.69%.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 21:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |