L’École des cotes

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-08-11 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fluminense-RJ (Local)

Prévision 61.38%1.63cote équitable
EV -3.63%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -6.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.44%61.05%61.39%62.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.62%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente Rivadavia (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.349%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.60%16.74%16.37%20.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.006.0022.22%19.34%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.30%4.48cote équitable
EV +0.360%
Avantage +0.080%
Kelly +0.103%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%22.21%22.24%23.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.164.204.5027.03%24.04%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.25%E -2.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.49%E -4.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.360%E +0.080%K +0.103%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.84%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.22%EV -3.56%E -0.603%K -0.725%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.94%EV -2.54%E -0.581%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 01:19
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -3.63%E -2.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.62%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -4.10%E -0.954%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 07:11
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.09%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.10%E -0.954%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:34
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.57%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -4.10%E -0.954%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.57%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -4.10%E -0.954%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.57%E -5.90%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -4.10%E -0.954%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -7.93%E -5.29%K -15.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -2.09%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.22%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 11:44
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -7.32%E -4.85%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -6.17%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 01:15
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -2.09%E -0.349%K -0.419%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -6.99%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:14
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:14
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -8.62%E -1.54%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:14
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.47%E -3.56%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 19:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.41%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 19:13
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 11:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.72%E -0.631%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.91%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 20:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -4.86%E -3.14%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.72%E -0.631%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.91%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.67%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.67%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:04
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.67%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.09%E -3.98%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.67%E -4.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:04
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.80%EV -10.39%E -7.11%K -22.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.82%EV -20.04%E -4.09%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -13.02%E -3.34%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 22:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.70%E -4.41%K -12.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.25%E -1.86%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -14.14%E -3.67%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 03:39
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.01%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.94%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -16.37%E -4.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.94%EV -11.61%E -8.06%K -26.39%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -16.78%E -3.29%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.14%EV -16.81%E -4.51%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-22 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.15%EV -12.23%E -8.55%K -28.43%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.00%EV -23.31%E -4.96%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.86%EV -17.48%E -4.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-22 22:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 58.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.23%16.4%2026-07-02 21:35