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Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Fluminense-RJ (Хозяева)
Прогноз 55.80%1.79справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.23%
Преимущество -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Independiente Rivadavia (Гости)
Прогноз 16.25%6.15справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.69%
Преимущество +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
Рост +0.014%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.32
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 27.95%3.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.18%
Преимущество -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fluminense-RJ (Хозяева): 55.80%; Independiente Rivadavia (Гости): 16.25%; Ничья: 27.95%. Для исхода «Independiente Rivadavia (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.15. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.32, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.69%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 21:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |