语言:简体中文
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fluminense-RJ (主队)
预测 55.80%1.79公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.77
博彩公司预测分布
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente Rivadavia (客队)
预测 16.25%6.15公平赔率
EV +2.69%
优势 +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 6.32
博彩公司预测分布
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.95%3.58公平赔率
EV -2.18%
优势 -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.50
博彩公司预测分布
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fluminense-RJ (主队)：55.80%；Independiente Rivadavia (客队)：16.25%；平局：27.95%。 对于“Independiente Rivadavia (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.15。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.32，对应+2.69%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 21:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |