Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

Inizio: 2026-08-11 22:00 UTC

Finale: Fluminense-RJ 0–0 Independiente Rivadavia

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fluminense-RJ (Casa)

Previsione 55.80%1.79quota equa
EV -1.23%
Vantaggio -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.25%6.15quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescita +0.014%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.95%3.58quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fluminense-RJ (Casa): 55.80%; Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta): 16.25%; Pareggio: 27.95%. Per Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.15. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.32, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.69%.

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 21:55
Suprabets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 21:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 21:55
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:54
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-11 21:55
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 21:19
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 20:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-11 21:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-11 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-11 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 20:35
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 20:54
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:43
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 21:44
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 21:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 21:39
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 21:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 21:34
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 21:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 21:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-11 21:48
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 21:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 21:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 21:44
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 21:44
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-11 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-11 21:50
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 21:54
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-11 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-11 21:44
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-11 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-11 21:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-11 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-11 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-11 21:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%0.3%2026-08-11 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67%0.4%2026-08-11 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-08-11 21:55
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54%0.9%2026-08-11 21:50