La scuola delle quote

Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-08-11 22:00 UTC — Copa Libertadores

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35 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fluminense-RJ (Casa)

Previsione 61.28%1.63quota equa
EV -3.79%
Vantaggio -2.42%
Kelly -6.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.44%60.98%61.31%62.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.521.531.5769.93%65.59%65.36%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Independiente Rivadavia (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.35%6.11quota equa
EV -1.88%
Vantaggio -0.313%
Kelly -0.376%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.60%16.76%16.42%20.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.175.006.0022.22%19.35%20.00%16.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.37%4.47quota equa
EV +0.656%
Vantaggio +0.146%
Kelly +0.187%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.70%22.25%22.28%23.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.164.204.5027.03%24.05%23.81%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 14:59
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -22.32%E -4.70%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV +0.656%E +0.146%K +0.187%G +0.001%7.4%2026-05-30 15:00
1xBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.45%EV -4.41%E -2.82%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.86I 17.06%NM 16.36%EV -4.17%E -0.711%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -3.37%E -0.780%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 06:49
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -3.79%E -2.42%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.42%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 07:11
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -1.88%E -0.313%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 00:34
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.41%E -5.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.41%E -5.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.65%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -26.41%E -5.87%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.14%EV -3.82%E -0.888%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 15:01
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.08%E -5.39%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.88%E -0.313%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.94%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 11:44
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -1.88%E -0.313%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 00:34
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -6.78%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 22:14
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.40%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -6.78%E -1.19%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.05%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 06:44
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 60.56%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV -10.05%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 00:14
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.53%EV -8.42%E -1.50%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-22 22:14
Suprabets1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -5.63%E -3.66%K -10.43%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -16.60%E -3.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 19:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -18.23%E -3.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.29%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 19:13
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.76%E -8.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.05%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.76%E -8.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -10.05%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.53%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-20 11:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.51%E -0.595%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.65%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 20:20
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.42%EV -5.02%E -3.24%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.87%EV -3.51%E -0.595%K -0.717%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.71%EV -11.65%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-16 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.50%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.50%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:04
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.50%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:05
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -6.24%E -4.08%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -21.50%E -4.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-17 01:04
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.80%EV -10.53%E -7.21%K -22.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.82%EV -19.87%E -4.05%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -12.77%E -3.27%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 22:14
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.84%EV -6.86%E -4.51%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -10.05%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -13.88%E -3.61%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 07:50
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.01%EV -11.76%E -8.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.94%EV -16.60%E -3.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -16.12%E -4.30%K -5.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-22 22:14
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.94%EV -11.76%E -8.17%K -26.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -16.60%E -3.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.14%EV -16.57%E -4.44%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-22 22:13
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 59.15%EV -12.37%E -8.65%K -28.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.00%EV -23.14%E -4.92%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.86%EV -17.24%E -4.66%K -6.38%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-22 22:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 58.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.91%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.23%16.4%2026-07-02 21:35