Idioma:Español
Fluminense-RJ v Independiente Rivadavia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fluminense-RJ (Local)
Predicción 55.80%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -1.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%55.79%55.82%57.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.671.671.7763.29%59.82%59.88%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante)
Predicción 16.25%6.15momio equitativo
EV +2.69%
Ventaja +0.425%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.12%16.28%16.23%17.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.635.506.3220.00%17.75%18.18%15.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.95%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.623%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.71%27.94%27.94%29.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.293.303.5032.26%30.38%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fluminense-RJ (Local): 55.80%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante): 16.25%; Empate: 27.95%. Para Independiente Rivadavia (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.15. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.32, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.69%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.05%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.17%EV +2.69%E +0.425%K +0.505%G +0.014% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.15%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.12%EV +0.736%E +0.119%K +0.142%G +0.001% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.73%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.76%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.76%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.48%EV -3.02%E -0.870%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.53%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.70%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.77%EV -4.42%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.82%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.68%EV -1.70%E -0.281%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.79%EV -4.02%E -2.34%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.60%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 21:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -2.18%E -0.623%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.51%E -0.419%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.88%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.10%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV -5.25%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.73%EV -4.14%E -0.701%K -0.845%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.00%EV -1.23%E -0.693%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.78%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.22%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.83%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.17%EV -5.76%E -0.994%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 20:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 20:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -4.97%E -1.46%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.65%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.52%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.66%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.03%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -6.58%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.82%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.02%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.78%EV -6.81%E -4.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-11 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.72%EV -9.04%E -5.55%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.77%EV -8.61%E -2.63%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-11 21:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.58%EV -7.92%E -4.80%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -13.36%E -4.31%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-11 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.39%EV -11.83%E -7.49%K -20.40%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.20%EV -10.64%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.02%EV -4.58%E -2.68%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -12.26%E -2.27%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.59%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.20%EV -13.89%E -2.62%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -6.37%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.15%EV -5.13%E -3.02%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -14.70%E -2.80%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -9.17%E -2.82%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.93%EV -6.25%E -3.72%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.76%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.31%EV -10.56%E -3.30%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.29%EV -9.60%E -5.92%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.56%EV -17.14%E -3.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -7.77%E -2.35%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.09%EV -8.48%E -5.17%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.74%EV -18.76%E -3.75%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -11.96%E -3.80%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.24% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.09% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.67% | 0.4% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.02% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.03% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 21:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 21:50 |