Szkoła Kursów

Flamengo-RJ v Independiente Medellín

Początek: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Flamengo-RJ 4–1 Independiente Medellín

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (13 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 79.38%1.26kurs godziwy
EV -3.95%
Przewaga -3.27%
Kelly -18.83%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
76.06%79.42%79.38%83.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.091.161.171.2191.74%86.09%85.47%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Independiente Medellín (Goście)

Prognoza 6.54%15.30kurs godziwy
EV +24.19%
Przewaga +1.27%
Kelly +1.34%
Wzrost +0.325%

przy maksymalnym kursie 19.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
5.10%6.60%6.36%8.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
10.0014.5914.2219.0010.00%6.85%7.03%5.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 14.09%7.10kurs godziwy
EV +19.74%
Przewaga +2.32%
Kelly +2.63%
Wzrost +0.519%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.40%13.98%14.27%16.08%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.506.826.508.5018.18%14.66%15.38%11.76%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemis ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:30
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%4.7%2026-04-17 00:28
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.16%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.21I 7.04%NM 6.71%EV -7.12%E -0.501%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.12%EV +2.41%E +0.331%K +0.384%G +0.009%4.8%2026-04-17 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.20%EV -8.72%E -7.58%K -58.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +4.58%E +0.286%K +0.305%G +0.014%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +1.42%E +0.198%K +0.230%G +0.003%7.1%2026-04-17 00:29
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.66%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.81%EV -3.51%E -0.512%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 00:28
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:16
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.89%E -10.71%K -108.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.39%EV -8.72%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.81%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.90%EV -13.40%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.22I 7.03%NM 6.54%EV -7.06%E -0.496%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.61%EV -10.27%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:28
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -24.83%E -2.16%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.66%EV -10.30%E -9.12%K -79.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.87%EV -28.10%E -2.55%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.12%E -3.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.60%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -22.52%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.23%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88%2.2%2026-04-17 00:30