L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Flamengo-RJ v Independiente Medellín
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Prévision 79.38%1.26cote équitable
EV -3.95%
Avantage -3.27%
Kelly -18.83%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.06%79.42%79.38%83.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.161.171.2191.74%86.09%85.47%82.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Independiente Medellín (Visiteur)
Prévision 6.54%15.30cote équitable
EV +24.19%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.325%
avec la cote maximale 19.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.10%6.60%6.36%8.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0014.5914.2219.0010.00%6.85%7.03%5.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 14.09%7.10cote équitable
EV +19.74%
Avantage +2.32%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +0.519%
avec la cote maximale 8.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.40%13.98%14.27%16.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.826.508.5018.18%14.66%15.38%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.16%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 14.21I 7.04%NM 6.71%EV -7.12%E -0.501%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.12%EV +2.41%E +0.331%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.20%EV -8.72%E -7.58%K -58.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +4.58%E +0.286%K +0.305%G +0.014% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +1.42%E +0.198%K +0.230%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetUS | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.66%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.81%EV -3.51%E -0.512%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:16 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.89%E -10.71%K -108.10%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.39%EV -8.72%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.81%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.90%EV -13.40%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 14.22I 7.03%NM 6.54%EV -7.06%E -0.496%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 14.61%EV -10.27%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -24.83%E -2.16%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.66%EV -10.30%E -9.12%K -79.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.87%EV -28.10%E -2.55%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.12%E -3.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.60%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -22.52%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.23% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |