مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flamengo-RJ v Independiente Medellín

البداية: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Flamengo-RJ 4–1 Independiente Medellín

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.38%1.26السعر العادل
EV -3.95%
الأفضلية -3.27%
Kelly -18.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.06%79.42%79.38%83.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.091.161.171.2191.74%86.09%85.47%82.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Independiente Medellín (الضيف)

التنبؤ 6.54%15.30السعر العادل
EV +24.19%
الأفضلية +1.27%
Kelly +1.34%
النمو +0.325%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 19.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
5.10%6.60%6.36%8.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
10.0014.5914.2219.0010.00%6.85%7.03%5.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 14.09%7.10السعر العادل
EV +19.74%
الأفضلية +2.32%
Kelly +2.63%
النمو +0.519%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.40%13.98%14.27%16.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.826.508.5018.18%14.66%15.38%11.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:30
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%4.7%2026-04-17 00:28
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.16%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.21I 7.04%NM 6.71%EV -7.12%E -0.501%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.12%EV +2.41%E +0.331%K +0.384%G +0.009%4.8%2026-04-17 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.20%EV -8.72%E -7.58%K -58.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +4.58%E +0.286%K +0.305%G +0.014%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +1.42%E +0.198%K +0.230%G +0.003%7.1%2026-04-17 00:29
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.66%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.81%EV -3.51%E -0.512%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 00:28
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:16
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.89%E -10.71%K -108.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.39%EV -8.72%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.81%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.90%EV -13.40%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.22I 7.03%NM 6.54%EV -7.06%E -0.496%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.61%EV -10.27%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:28
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -24.83%E -2.16%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.66%EV -10.30%E -9.12%K -79.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.87%EV -28.10%E -2.55%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.12%E -3.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.60%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -22.52%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 00:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.23%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88%2.2%2026-04-17 00:30