Die Schule der Quoten

Flamengo-RJ v Independiente Medellín

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 00:32 UTC

Endstand: Flamengo-RJ 4–1 Independiente Medellín

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

45 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Flamengo-RJ (Heim)

Prognose 79.38%1.26faire Quote
EV -3.95%
Vorteil -3.27%
Kelly -18.83%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.06%79.42%79.38%83.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.091.161.171.2191.74%86.09%85.47%82.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Independiente Medellín (Auswärts)

Prognose 6.54%15.30faire Quote
EV +24.19%
Vorteil +1.27%
Kelly +1.34%
Wachstum +0.325%

bei einer Höchstquote von 19.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
5.10%6.60%6.36%8.98%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
10.0014.5914.2219.0010.00%6.85%7.03%5.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.09%7.10faire Quote
EV +19.74%
Vorteil +2.32%
Kelly +2.63%
Wachstum +0.519%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.40%13.98%14.27%16.08%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
5.506.826.508.5018.18%14.66%15.38%11.76%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (45 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:30
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519%3.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Casumo1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230%7.3%2026-04-17 00:30
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%4.7%2026-04-17 00:28
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:29
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049%11.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.16%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.21I 7.04%NM 6.71%EV -7.12%E -0.501%K -0.539%G +0.000%7.27I 13.76%NM 13.12%EV +2.41%E +0.331%K +0.384%G +0.009%4.8%2026-04-17 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
LowVig.ag1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007%5.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.20%EV -8.72%E -7.58%K -58.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +4.58%E +0.286%K +0.305%G +0.014%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +1.42%E +0.198%K +0.230%G +0.003%7.1%2026-04-17 00:29
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 00:29
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.66%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.81%EV -3.51%E -0.512%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 00:28
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 00:16
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:30
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 00:29
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 00:29
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 00:29
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 00:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.89%E -10.71%K -108.10%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 00:30
1xBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.39%EV -8.72%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:29
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 00:28
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 00:29
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.81%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.90%EV -13.40%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:29
GTbets1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%14.22I 7.03%NM 6.54%EV -7.06%E -0.496%K -0.534%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.61%EV -10.27%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 00:29
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 00:28
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 00:30
Winamax (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -24.83%E -2.16%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 76.66%EV -10.30%E -9.12%K -79.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.87%EV -28.10%E -2.55%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.12%E -3.77%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 00:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.60%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -22.52%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 00:30
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%0.9%2026-04-17 00:30
Smarkets1.19I 84.03%NM 82.23%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88%2.2%2026-04-17 00:30