La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Flamengo-RJ v Independiente Medellín
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Flamengo-RJ (Casa)
Previsione 79.38%1.26quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -3.27%
Kelly -18.83%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.06%79.42%79.38%83.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.161.171.2191.74%86.09%85.47%82.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Independiente Medellín (Trasferta)
Previsione 6.54%15.30quota equa
EV +24.19%
Vantaggio +1.27%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.325%
ipotizzando la quota massima 19.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
5.10%6.60%6.36%8.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0014.5914.2219.0010.00%6.85%7.03%5.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.09%7.10quota equa
EV +19.74%
Vantaggio +2.32%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescita +0.519%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.40%13.98%14.27%16.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.506.826.508.5018.18%14.66%15.38%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (45 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.51%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.10%EV +24.19%E +1.27%K +1.34%G +0.325% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.40%EV +19.74%E +2.32%K +2.63%G +0.519% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Unibet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Casumo | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -11.10%E -9.91%K -92.48%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +17.65%E +0.981%K +1.04%G +0.183% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +12.69%E +1.59%K +1.81%G +0.230% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.68%EV -13.48%E -12.37%K -149.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV +5.65%E +0.753%K +0.869%G +0.049% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.16%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 14.21I 7.04%NM 6.71%EV -7.12%E -0.501%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.27I 13.76%NM 13.12%EV +2.41%E +0.331%K +0.384%G +0.009% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.55%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.34%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +2.13%E +0.293%K +0.340%G +0.007% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.20%EV -8.72%E -7.58%K -58.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.84%EV +4.58%E +0.286%K +0.305%G +0.014% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV +1.42%E +0.198%K +0.230%G +0.003% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Everygame | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.68%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.11%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -1.39%E -0.199%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| BetUS | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.52%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.66%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.81%EV -3.51%E -0.512%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Bovada | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.01%EV -3.95%E -3.27%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.83%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.16%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| BetRivers | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.37%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +11.11%E +0.654%K +0.695%G +0.077% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -4.92%E -0.728%K -0.855%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 00:16 |
| Betway | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.35%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| 888sport | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.60%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -21.57%E -1.80%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.00%EV -11.89%E -10.71%K -108.10%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.34%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -8.44%E -1.30%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.04%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.57%EV -7.19%E -0.506%K -0.544%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.39%EV -8.72%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betsson | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| NordicBet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV +7.85%E +0.476%K +0.506%G +0.040% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.58%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.57%EV -7.13%E -6.09%K -41.93%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.81%EV -7.92%E -6.83%K -49.51%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.90%EV -13.40%E -1.01%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -9.85%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| GTbets | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 14.22I 7.03%NM 6.54%EV -7.06%E -0.496%K -0.534%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 14.61%EV -10.27%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.27%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -1.96%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 00:28 |
| William Hill | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.75%E -3.96%K -23.74%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.03%E -1.16%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.82%EV -5.54%E -4.66%K -29.16%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.95%EV -24.83%E -2.16%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Neds | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -6.33%E -5.37%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -34.64%E -3.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -15.48%E -2.58%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.66%EV -10.30%E -9.12%K -79.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.87%EV -28.10%E -2.55%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.47%EV -21.12%E -3.77%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-17 00:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 77.60%EV -9.51%E -8.34%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.32%EV -8.49%E -0.607%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.08%EV -22.52%E -4.10%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.58% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.23% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.88% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 00:30 |