Language:English
Flamengo-RJ v Cruzeiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Prediction 57.79%1.73fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -7.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.37%57.84%58.10%60.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visit)
Prediction 17.36%5.76fair odd
EV +5.90%
Edge +0.967%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.97%17.39%17.14%18.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.365.406.1021.28%18.65%18.52%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.85%4.02fair odd
EV -0.585%
Edge -0.146%
Kelly -0.195%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.35%24.77%24.76%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.93%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flamengo-RJ (Local): 57.79%; Cruzeiro (Visit): 17.36%; Draw: 24.85%. For Cruzeiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%EV +2.08%E +0.354%K +0.427%G +0.009% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -2.82%E -0.722%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.585%E -0.146%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.463%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.80%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.95%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.88%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.71%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 23:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.36%EV -3.32%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -11.46%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.12%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.59%E -7.57%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.85%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.40%E -3.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |