语言:简体中文
Flamengo-RJ v Cruzeiro
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Flamengo-RJ (主队)
预测 57.79%1.73公平赔率
EV -4.65%
优势 -2.82%
Kelly -7.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.65
博彩公司预测分布
56.37%57.84%58.10%60.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.53%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cruzeiro (客队)
预测 17.36%5.76公平赔率
EV +5.90%
优势 +0.967%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.068%
假设最高赔率为 6.10
博彩公司预测分布
15.97%17.39%17.14%18.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.705.365.406.1021.28%18.65%18.52%16.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.85%4.02公平赔率
EV -0.585%
优势 -0.146%
Kelly -0.195%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.35%24.77%24.76%25.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.93%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Flamengo-RJ (主队)：57.79%；Cruzeiro (客队)：17.36%；平局：24.85%。 对于“Cruzeiro (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.76。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.10，对应+5.90%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%EV +2.08%E +0.354%K +0.427%G +0.009% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -2.82%E -0.722%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.585%E -0.146%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.463%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.80%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.95%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.88%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.71%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 23:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.36%EV -3.32%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -11.46%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.12%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.59%E -7.57%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.85%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.40%E -3.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |