StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flamengo-RJ v Cruzeiro

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-20 00:30 UTC

Endstand: Flamengo-RJ 2–1 Cruzeiro

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

47 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Flamengo-RJ (Heim)

Prognose 57.79%1.73faire Quote
EV -4.65%
Vorteil -2.82%
Kelly -7.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.65

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.37%57.84%58.10%60.26%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cruzeiro (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.36%5.76faire Quote
EV +5.90%
Vorteil +0.967%
Kelly +1.16%
Wachstum +0.068%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.10

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.97%17.39%17.14%18.99%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.705.365.406.1021.28%18.65%18.52%16.39%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.85%4.02faire Quote
EV -0.585%
Vorteil -0.146%
Kelly -0.195%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.35%24.77%24.76%25.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.93%27.03%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Flamengo-RJ (Heim): 57.79%; Cruzeiro (Auswärts): 17.36%; Unentschieden: 24.85%. Für Cruzeiro (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.76. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.10 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +5.90%.

Wettanbieterquoten (47 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 00:25
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%EV +2.08%E +0.354%K +0.427%G +0.009%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -2.82%E -0.722%K -0.970%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:25
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:25
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 00:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.585%E -0.146%K -0.195%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-19 22:40
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 22:40
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.463%K -0.620%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.80%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-20 00:25
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 23:30
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 00:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.95%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 00:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 00:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 00:26
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.88%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-20 00:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 00:14
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 00:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 00:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-20 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-20 00:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-20 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.71%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-19 23:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-19 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-20 00:15
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.36%EV -3.32%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -11.46%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.12%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 00:14
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 23:56
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-20 00:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-20 00:10
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 00:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-20 00:15
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-20 00:15
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-20 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-20 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.59%E -7.57%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-20 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-19 23:56
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.85%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.40%E -3.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-19 23:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-20 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-20 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-08-20 00:25
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90%1.7%2026-08-20 00:26