Langue:Français
Flamengo-RJ v Cruzeiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Prévision 57.79%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -7.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.37%57.84%58.10%60.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cruzeiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.36%5.76cote équitable
EV +5.90%
Avantage +0.967%
Kelly +1.16%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 6.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%17.39%17.14%18.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.705.365.406.1021.28%18.65%18.52%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 24.85%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.585%
Avantage -0.146%
Kelly -0.195%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.35%24.77%24.76%25.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.93%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Flamengo-RJ (Local) : 57.79% ; Cruzeiro (Visiteur) : 17.36% ; Match nul : 24.85%. Pour Cruzeiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.76. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.10, soit une espérance positive de +5.90%.
Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%EV +2.08%E +0.354%K +0.427%G +0.009% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -2.82%E -0.722%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.585%E -0.146%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.463%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.80%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.95%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.88%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.71%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 23:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.36%EV -3.32%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -11.46%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.12%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.59%E -7.57%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.85%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.40%E -3.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |