Idioma:Español
Flamengo-RJ v Cruzeiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flamengo-RJ (Local)
Predicción 57.79%1.73momio equitativo
EV -4.65%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -7.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.37%57.84%58.10%60.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.53%62.50%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cruzeiro (Visitante)
Predicción 17.36%5.76momio equitativo
EV +5.90%
Ventaja +0.967%
Kelly +1.16%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.97%17.39%17.14%18.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.705.365.406.1021.28%18.65%18.52%16.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.585%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.195%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.35%24.77%24.76%25.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.713.704.0028.99%26.93%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Flamengo-RJ (Local): 57.79%; Cruzeiro (Visitante): 17.36%; Empate: 24.85%. Para Cruzeiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.76. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.90%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.05%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +5.90%E +0.967%K +1.16%G +0.068% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.98%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.18%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.30%EV +2.08%E +0.354%K +0.427%G +0.009% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.52%EV -2.82%E -0.722%K -0.970%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -0.175%E -0.030%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.68%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.04%E -2.17%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -1.04%E -0.183%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.585%E -0.146%K -0.195%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.71%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.61I 17.83%NM 16.97%EV -2.61%E -0.464%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.32%EV -6.55%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.99%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.96%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -1.83%E -0.463%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.80%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -2.78%E -0.496%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.95%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.08%EV -7.54%E -2.03%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.83%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -9.28%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.88%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.77%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -10.43%E -6.73%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -4.52%E -0.821%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.25%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.57%EV -11.01%E -7.15%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.73%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -14.25%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.71%EV -5.23%E -3.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.07%E -0.787%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-19 23:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.64%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -4.65%E -2.82%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.36%EV -3.32%E -0.853%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.73%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -9.72%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -11.46%E -2.25%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.12%EV -9.78%E -2.69%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-20 00:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.56%E -1.46%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.54%E -4.71%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -6.39%E -3.94%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-20 00:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.97%E -4.33%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.91%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.53%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.59%E -7.57%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.49%EV -8.70%E -5.51%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -4.31%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 23:56 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -9.85%E -6.32%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -18.40%E -3.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -6.80%E -1.81%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-19 23:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.72% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.28% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.24% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.86% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.90% | 1.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |