Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 29.63%3.37fair odd
EV +8.16%
Edge +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +0.251%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Flamengo-RJ (Visit)
Prediction 38.65%2.59fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV -0.102%
Edge -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 29.63%; Flamengo-RJ (Visit): 38.65%; Draw: 31.71%. For Estudiantes La Plata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 15:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |