语言:简体中文
Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Estudiantes La Plata (主队)
预测 29.63%3.37公平赔率
EV +8.16%
优势 +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
增长率 +0.251%
假设最高赔率为 3.65
博彩公司预测分布
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
Flamengo-RJ (客队)
预测 38.65%2.59公平赔率
EV -4.14%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.48
博彩公司预测分布
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.71%3.15公平赔率
EV -0.102%
优势 -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Estudiantes La Plata (主队)：29.63%；Flamengo-RJ (客队)：38.65%；平局：31.71%。 对于“Estudiantes La Plata (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.37。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.65，对应+8.16%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (42 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 15:56 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |