La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Predicción 29.63%3.37momio equitativo
EV +8.16%
Ventaja +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
Crecimiento +0.251%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)
Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.71%3.15momio equitativo
EV -0.102%
Ventaja -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| BetRivers | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Casumo | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 09:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 09:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-23 22:09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:36 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:03 |
| GTbets | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 17:30 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:48 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-22 19:39 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 00:40 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 06:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:49 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 07:11 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 15:56 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-24 00:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-04-21 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 00:35 |