A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ

Início: 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

Final: Estudiantes La Plata 1–1 Flamengo-RJ

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Previsão 29.63%3.37odd justa
EV +8.16%
Vantagem +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
Crescimento +0.251%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Flamengo-RJ (Visitante)

Previsão 38.65%2.59odd justa
EV -4.14%
Vantagem -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.71%3.15odd justa
EV -0.102%
Vantagem -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:45
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:45
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:05
LowVig.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:36
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:03
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 16:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:54
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 07:11
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 15:56
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-21 16:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39%13.0%2026-04-23 00:35