مدرسة الاحتمالات

Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ

البداية: 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Estudiantes La Plata 1–1 Flamengo-RJ

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

42 شركة مراهنات (11 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.63%3.37السعر العادل
EV +8.16%
الأفضلية +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
النمو +0.251%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Flamengo-RJ (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.65%2.59السعر العادل
EV -4.14%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.48

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.71%3.15السعر العادل
EV -0.102%
الأفضلية -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (42 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:45
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:45
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:05
LowVig.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:36
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:03
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 16:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:54
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 07:11
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 15:56
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-21 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39%13.0%2026-04-23 00:35