L’École des cotes

Estudiantes La Plata v Flamengo-RJ

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-30 00:30 UTC

Score final : Estudiantes La Plata 1–1 Flamengo-RJ

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Prévision 29.63%3.37cote équitable
EV +8.16%
Avantage +2.24%
Kelly +3.08%
Croissance +0.251%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.49%29.42%29.74%30.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.193.133.6536.36%31.32%32.00%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Flamengo-RJ (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.65%2.59cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.30%38.82%38.69%42.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.382.4846.51%42.69%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.71%3.15cote équitable
EV -0.102%
Avantage -0.032%
Kelly -0.047%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.95%31.75%31.57%33.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.923.1536.36%34.11%34.31%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%EV +8.16%E +2.24%K +3.08%G +0.251%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%EV -0.102%E -0.032%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-23 09:45
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.39%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:45
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%EV +5.20%E +1.46%K +2.04%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.17%EV -13.80%E -6.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV +3.72%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 09:45
PMU (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV +0.753%E +0.222%K +0.314%G +0.002%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.01%EV -16.51%E -7.64%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 09:44
1xBet3.29I 30.40%NM 29.17%EV -2.51%E -0.762%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.85%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.99%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 22:09
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 28.98%EV -3.10%E -0.948%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.34%EV -7.08%E -2.42%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 22:05
LowVig.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:45
BetOnline.ag3.22I 31.06%NM 29.32%EV -4.58%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.23%EV -4.53%E -1.83%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.45%EV -7.71%E -2.65%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 18:44
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:36
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.93%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.27%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:00
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.17%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -7.40%E -2.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:03
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.67%EV -5.77%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.67%EV -5.69%E -2.33%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.66%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 00:14
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.73%EV -6.66%E -2.11%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.76%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 17:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.804%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:48
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 19:39
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 16:10
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 00:40
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:45
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.14%E -2.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 06:44
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:55
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.00%EV -9.62%E -3.15%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.45%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 16:40
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.23%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:54
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -11.10%E -3.70%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.15%EV -11.87%E -5.21%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.10%EV -8.98%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 07:11
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.06%E -4.85%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.10%E -4.83%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 15:56
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.78%EV -13.03%E -5.79%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.61%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-21 16:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.01%EV -15.55%E -5.45%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.88%EV -14.96%E -6.80%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-24 00:35
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -18.51%E -6.73%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.01%EV -16.90%E -7.86%K -14.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.50%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%19.2%2026-04-21 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 30.11%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.49%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.39%13.0%2026-04-23 00:35