Language:English
Estudiantes La Plata v Cusco FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes La Plata (Local)
Prediction 80.53%1.24fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -3.50%
Kelly -21.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
77.82%80.60%80.43%82.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.73%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cusco FC (Visit)
Prediction 5.40%18.54fair odd
EV +18.69%
Edge +0.850%
Kelly +0.890%
Growth +0.166%
assuming max odds 22.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.24%5.45%5.41%7.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.5017.4517.5022.008.00%5.73%5.71%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 14.07%7.11fair odd
EV +12.57%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.80%
Growth +0.226%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.23%13.95%14.17%16.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.776.758.0018.18%14.76%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes La Plata (Local): 80.53%; Cusco FC (Visit): 5.40%; Draw: 14.07%. For Cusco FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.54. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 22.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226% | 2.2% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 6.3% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 20.41I 4.90%NM 4.69%EV +10.11%E +0.496%K +0.521%G +0.053% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.87%EV +4.55%E +0.613%K +0.708%G +0.032% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.11%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 14.80I 6.76%NM 6.30%EV -20.15%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.41I 13.50%NM 12.59%EV +4.27%E +0.576%K +0.666%G +0.028% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.61%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.69%E +0.850%K +0.890%G +0.166% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -0.092%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-14 21:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.68%E -0.855%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 21:27 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-14 10:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.11%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 10:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -24.47%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 21:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-14 21:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +13.30%E +0.633%K +0.665%G +0.088% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-14 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.80%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-14 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 78.35%EV -9.80%E -8.75%K -81.69%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -32.56%E -2.60%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-14 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.62%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -22.61%E -4.11%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-14 21:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45% | 0.4% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.44% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.94% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.62% | 1.6% | 2026-04-14 21:50 |