A Escola das Odds

Estudiantes La Plata v Cusco FC

Início: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Final: Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Cusco FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Estudiantes La Plata (Local)

Previsão 80.53%1.24odd justa
EV -4.17%
Vantagem -3.50%
Kelly -21.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
77.82%80.60%80.43%82.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.73%86.96%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cusco FC (Visitante)

Previsão 5.40%18.54odd justa
EV +18.69%
Vantagem +0.850%
Kelly +0.890%
Crescimento +0.166%

pressupondo odds máximas de 22.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.24%5.45%5.41%7.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
12.5017.4517.5022.008.00%5.73%5.71%4.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 14.07%7.11odd justa
EV +12.57%
Vantagem +1.57%
Kelly +1.80%
Crescimento +0.226%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.23%13.95%14.17%16.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.506.776.758.0018.18%14.76%14.81%12.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
ATG (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Grosvenor1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%7.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.69%EV +10.11%E +0.496%K +0.521%G +0.053%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.87%EV +4.55%E +0.613%K +0.708%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-14 21:45
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.11%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.30%EV -20.15%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.59%EV +4.27%E +0.576%K +0.666%G +0.028%7.2%2026-04-14 21:50
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.61%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.69%E +0.850%K +0.890%G +0.166%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -0.092%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:29
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:28
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.68%E -0.855%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:50
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Suprabets1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:27
Everygame1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:03
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.11%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 21:30
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:00
BetOnline.ag1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:04
theScore Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (DE)1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -24.47%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 21:45
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:29
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:43
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +13.30%E +0.633%K +0.665%G +0.088%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:45
PointsBet (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:00
Codere (IT)1.15I 86.96%NM 79.80%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 21:45
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:44
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:59
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.35%EV -9.80%E -8.75%K -81.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -32.56%E -2.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.62%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -22.61%E -4.11%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-14 21:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.44%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.94%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.62%1.6%2026-04-14 21:50