StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes La Plata v Cusco FC

Matchstart: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Cusco FC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Estudiantes La Plata (Hemma)

Prognos 80.53%1.24rättvist odds
EV -4.17%
Fördel -3.50%
Kelly -21.92%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.19

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
77.82%80.60%80.43%82.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.73%86.96%84.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cusco FC (Borta)

Prognos 5.40%18.54rättvist odds
EV +18.69%
Fördel +0.850%
Kelly +0.890%
Tillväxt +0.166%

med antagandet om högsta odds 22.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
4.24%5.45%5.41%7.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
12.5017.4517.5022.008.00%5.73%5.71%4.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 14.07%7.11rättvist odds
EV +12.57%
Fördel +1.57%
Kelly +1.80%
Tillväxt +0.226%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.23%13.95%14.17%16.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.776.758.0018.18%14.76%14.81%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Estudiantes La Plata (Hemma): 80.53%; Cusco FC (Borta): 5.40%; Oavgjort: 14.07%. För Cusco FC (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 18.54. 19 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 22.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +18.69%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%7.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.69%EV +10.11%E +0.496%K +0.521%G +0.053%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.87%EV +4.55%E +0.613%K +0.708%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-14 21:45
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.11%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.30%EV -20.15%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.59%EV +4.27%E +0.576%K +0.666%G +0.028%7.2%2026-04-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.61%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.69%E +0.850%K +0.890%G +0.166%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -0.092%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:29
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:28
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.68%E -0.855%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:50
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Suprabets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:27
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:03
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.11%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:04
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -24.47%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 21:45
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:43
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +13.30%E +0.633%K +0.665%G +0.088%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.80%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 21:45
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:44
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:59
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.35%EV -9.80%E -8.75%K -81.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -32.56%E -2.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.62%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -22.61%E -4.11%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-14 21:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.44%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.94%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.62%1.6%2026-04-14 21:50