StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Estudiantes La Plata v Cusco FC

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 22:00 UTC

Endstand: Estudiantes La Plata 2–1 Cusco FC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

44 Wettanbieter (13 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Estudiantes La Plata (Heim)

Prognose 80.53%1.24faire Quote
EV -4.17%
Vorteil -3.50%
Kelly -21.92%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.82%80.60%80.43%82.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.111.151.151.1990.09%86.73%86.96%84.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Cusco FC (Auswärts)

Prognose 5.40%18.54faire Quote
EV +18.69%
Vorteil +0.850%
Kelly +0.890%
Wachstum +0.166%

bei einer Höchstquote von 22.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
4.24%5.45%5.41%7.02%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
12.5017.4517.5022.008.00%5.73%5.71%4.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 14.07%7.11faire Quote
EV +12.57%
Vorteil +1.57%
Kelly +1.80%
Wachstum +0.226%

bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
12.23%13.95%14.17%16.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.506.776.758.0018.18%14.76%14.81%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Estudiantes La Plata (Heim): 80.53%; Cusco FC (Auswärts): 5.40%; Unentschieden: 14.07%. Für Cusco FC (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 18.54. 19 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 22.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +18.69%.

Wettanbieterquoten (44 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Svenska Spel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.88%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.89%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.23%EV +12.57%E +1.57%K +1.80%G +0.226%2.2%2026-04-14 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.38%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%5.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.51%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%6.3%2026-04-14 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV +5.54%E +0.738%K +0.852%G +0.047%7.1%2026-04-14 21:30
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.44%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.41I 4.90%NM 4.69%EV +10.11%E +0.496%K +0.521%G +0.053%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.87%EV +4.55%E +0.613%K +0.708%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-14 21:45
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.11%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.30%EV -20.15%E -1.36%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.41I 13.50%NM 12.59%EV +4.27%E +0.576%K +0.666%G +0.028%7.2%2026-04-14 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.61%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.24%EV +18.69%E +0.850%K +0.890%G +0.166%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.15%EV -0.092%E -0.013%K -0.015%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:29
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.39%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.01%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 21:28
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.49%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.68%E -0.855%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 21:50
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Suprabets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 21:27
Everygame🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 10:03
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.11%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 21:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.95%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -2.89%E -0.160%K -0.170%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -1.50%E -0.214%K -0.250%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-14 21:29
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -4.17%E -3.50%K -21.92%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.62%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:04
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.78%EV -4.97%E -4.21%K -27.61%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.98%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -24.47%E -1.75%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV -5.02%E -0.743%K -0.873%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-14 21:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.08%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 21:45
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.81%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.89%EV +2.51%E +0.132%K +0.139%G +0.003%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 21:30
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.90%EV -10.61%E -9.56%K -96.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -8.54%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-14 21:30
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.69%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.68%EV +7.90%E +0.395%K +0.416%G +0.033%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.31%EV -8.19%E -7.19%K -58.51%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.39%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.31%EV -9.94%E -1.55%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-14 21:43
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.67%K -41.13%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.45%EV +13.30%E +0.633%K +0.665%G +0.088%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.62%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -12.05%E -1.93%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.80%EV -7.39%E -6.42%K -49.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.40%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -12.76%E -2.06%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 21:45
betfred_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.55%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -19.07%E -1.27%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 21:44
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 12:59
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.82%EV -5.78%E -4.94%K -33.98%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.00%EV -29.86%E -2.30%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-14 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.35%EV -9.80%E -8.75%K -81.69%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.02%EV -32.56%E -2.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.57%E -2.60%K -3.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-14 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.62%EV -9.00%E -7.96%K -69.21%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.23%EV -8.28%E -0.487%K -0.518%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.15%EV -22.61%E -4.11%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-14 21:44
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.72%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.83%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-04-14 21:50
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.44%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.94%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.62%1.6%2026-04-14 21:50